Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.431854 0.492189 0.556674 0.630580 0.712794 0.801293 0.903614
2025-10-26 0.323349 0.403215 0.495133 0.608154 0.742750 0.897250 1.087313
2025-11-02 0.249747 0.339128 0.449366 0.593923 0.776912 0.999144 1.287545
2025-11-09 0.197599 0.290988 0.413915 0.584960 0.813766 1.105907 1.503167
2025-11-16 0.160363 0.255036 0.387487 0.582115 0.855782 1.221109 1.738665
2025-11-23 0.129970 0.222704 0.360247 0.573010 0.886325 1.321933 1.962280
2025-11-30 0.110718 0.203221 0.347922 0.582315 0.941873 1.459822 2.245870
2025-12-07 0.091791 0.180533 0.326898 0.574928 0.970713 1.560473 2.482862
2025-12-14 0.078639 0.165019 0.314655 0.578909 1.015866 1.686946 2.764844
2025-12-21 0.065735 0.147375 0.295984 0.569436 1.037723 1.778395 2.999061
2025-12-28 0.059340 0.140836 0.295586 0.590357 1.110095 1.952334 3.369904
2026-01-04 0.053645 0.134576 0.294643 0.609764 1.180889 2.127665 3.752669
2026-01-11 0.046661 0.124381 0.285040 0.612706 1.224171 2.262350 4.081076
2026-01-18 0.040467 0.114660 0.274922 0.613341 1.263099 2.392067 4.409052
2026-01-25 0.035098 0.105704 0.264994 0.612996 1.299810 2.519927 4.740988
2026-02-01 0.030496 0.097598 0.255615 0.612458 1.335694 2.648100 5.080158
2026-02-08 0.026752 0.090851 0.248177 0.614887 1.377071 2.788055 5.446754
2026-02-15 0.023002 0.083163 0.237341 0.608648 1.400517 2.896487 5.763195
2026-02-22 0.020762 0.079283 0.234966 0.620530 1.460965 3.076066 6.215079
2026-03-01 0.017898 0.072753 0.224985 0.614001 1.482800 3.184226 6.542718
2026-03-08 0.015925 0.068544 0.220265 0.619007 1.528946 3.340881 6.966598
2026-03-15 0.013638 0.062610 0.209973 0.609454 1.542881 3.435628 7.279417
2026-03-22 0.012766 0.061472 0.212689 0.631942 1.628397 3.675395 7.876487